Behaviour

The other tilt: size creeping up after wins

Revenge after losses gets all the attention. Confidence after wins is quieter and equally expensive.

2026-06-09 · 5 min read

After a good run, size tends to drift upward. It rarely feels like a decision. It feels like the natural response to being right.

Flag size against your own baseline

Compare each trade to a rolling median of your last twenty. When it crosses a multiple you choose, tag it. The tag is neutral; the pattern it reveals may not be.

Rupees at risk per trade during a winning run
₹0₹4k₹8k₹11k₹15k largest sizereset after loss Start of runMid runPeak sizeAfter the give-back

Size tripled over eleven trades, then reset the hard way. Illustrative journal data, not a live book and not a performance claim.

Watch for the give-back day

In a lot of books, the biggest single loss of the year sits within a few sessions of the biggest size of the year. That is a correlation in your own history, not a law — but it is worth knowing about yourself.

Log withdrawals separately

Taking money out after a run changes both the arithmetic and the psychology. It belongs in the funds record as its own event, never mixed into trading P&L.

Two dates worth checking in your own book
Largest size When did it happen? Usually late in a winning run
Largest loss When did that happen? Often within a few sessions of it
Gap Sessions between the two Your own number, not a law

Key takeaways

Your book already has these numbers. Import a broker CSV and the charts above draw themselves from your own closed trades.
Open the journal